Charlie Munger’s 100 Thought Models -12


An experienced and wise person will always value the smallest details, because he knows that such a small part is likely to have a huge impact in the future.For example, if a person who makes an app only has a quick plan in the early stage, without sorting out the requirements and identifying the goals to be achieved in the first, second and third phases, he or she will start to take action immediately, and it is likely that the more work he or she does, the more tired he or she will become, or even rework all the work.But if you understand the overall intention early, understand the butterfly effect, early insight into the whole, layout of small points, it is likely to be easier.To make good use of the butterfly effect, there are three prerequisites :1. Have a detailed understanding of the whole process of the whole event 2.Know the consequences of each possibility 3. Know the key points where you can really make a differenceWhen we think about something, it’s easy to think about it in simple terms. For example, a person plans a car to get from point A to point B.I’m just thinking about ab at two points.But in fact, if you think about it from a system: who is the driver, how good is the driver?What about the road on the way?How long will it take?Where is the gas station and do I need gas?Is there anything wrong with the car?What are the traffic rules?And so on, if we can think about things in a systematic way, we can think about things in a more three-dimensional, more holistic way.Specific methods :1. Experience the elements needed for the whole process 2. Consider possible accidents 3.Every day, we should take stock of ourselves and reflect on ourselves. Many of us are aware of this.However, many people’s reflection and evaluation are fragmented, lack of continuity, discontinuous.So, we need to have a system where we get our own feedback on a constant basis.The system is like this :1. There are two dimensions: good and bad, time. 2.Most of the time, we need to imagine an extreme situation in advance so that we can feel more comfortable with it.Today, I read a story about a person who is a death experiencer.Let everyone experience death and say goodbye.Over thousands of years, millions of people have died, millions of people have been born, and each person has lived out his or her life in an average of 30,000 days. Another line from the show struck me: “The man who has never lived fully fears death most.”Yes, only fully lived, not afraid of death, do not regret.So, what really lives?My understanding is :1. Tried to do what I want to do 2.What other extreme situations can be imagined with the sense of continuity created by creation :1. Moments of extreme happiness: marriage, baby birth, peak experience 2.3. Extremely motivated and eager to fight: The battle is about to begin 60.A lot of the things that happen to you will connect at some point in the future, Jobs said in a 2005 speech to Stanford graduates.When Jobs dropped out of college, he attended a calligraphy class and was struck by the artistic typography of the class.But he didn’t think it would work for him at the time.Until he began to make a computer, he asked to make the computer shell transparent, he asked the engineers to line up the inside of the line, in line with the artistic atmosphere, so that users can experience the beauty of this neat.The computer was a great success because of this design.Most of the time, we don’t know how our current knowledge and experience can be used in the future.Only when you look back suddenly in the future, will you find that one experience after another, one thing after another, one truth connected together, you have a new judgment, a new decision.So, figure out what you want to do, what you love to do, and go for it, and ask yourself if this was your last day, would you regret it, and think about what you want to do most.

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